The Philadelphia 76ers host the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday night. The Sixers are 8.5-point favorites, down two from where the line opened. The over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 208, down one from the opener.
Before you lock in any picks, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model is picking.
The same model is on a red-hot 41-21 run on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone who has followed its advice is up huge.
Now, the model simulated Kings-76ers 10,000 times and locked in against-the-spread, money line and over-under picks. You can only see them over at SportsLine.
We can tell you the model loves under 208 in this game, saying it'll hit a whopping 65 percent of the time. Only 31 percent of the public is on the under, so go against the grain with confidence.
But what about the spread, which it has had tremendous success picking this season?
The model knows the 76ers have lost six of seven games, but the past two have been nail-biters. Philadelphia took the Thunder to triple-overtime last Friday and lost by just two to the Bulls on Monday.
The Sixers have been staying competitive with defense. They're third in opponent field-goal percentage at 44.3 and seventh against the three at 35.2 percent.
The Kings dropped the first two games of their four-game road trip to the Timberwolves and Raptors. They were beaten by double-digits in both games, but had won two of their previous three.
When these two teams met in November in Sacramento, the Kings won by a single point, 109-108. De'Aaron Fox hit the winner with 13 seconds left and Zach Randolph led the Kings in scoring with 20. Fox is probable for Tuesday, while Randolph rested in the team's last game.
All five Sixers starters scored in double-figures in the first meeting.
Will the Sixers protect home court and use their defense to cover? Or will the Kings beat Philly again, or at least stay within the spread? Visit SportsLine now to see the computer's strong against the spread pick for Kings-Sixers, all from the model that's 41-21 on top-rated NBA picks this season.