- FC Juarez are without a win in the last three games, and they haven’t kept a clean sheet against Toluca the last seven games.
- In four of the last five games, both teams scored less than 2.5 goals.
- Toluca has received over 4.5 cards in seven of the last eight and has been the first to score against FC Juarez in four of their last five meetings.
The Liga MX Apertura season is getting hotter as we get in more games. We’re beginning to feel the teams put in more work. Undoubtedly, it will only get tighter.
Liga MX Apertura Performance Recap
This week we are looking at the game between Toluca and Juarez. Both teams would want to have three points in this game to help increase their chances of qualifying for the playoffs.
Toluca is having a better season than Juarez, but things can change with any slip-ups at this stage of the season.
We’re getting into a period where it would be terrible for the teams to lose too many games in a row, and that can happen once they don’t put in enough work and discipline in games.
Liga MX Schedule
As we prepare for the sixth week Liga MX schedule, Toluca and FC Juarez would need to work if they would get the three points from this match.
Let’s look at the odds and information for this game alongside the preview of each team and our expert pick.
FC Juarez vs. Toluca Odds
| FC Juarez | Draw | Toluca |
| +115 | +250 | +230 |
Even though Toluca is having the better season, FC Juarez has the favorite Liga MX odds to win. One of the reasons for this is because they are playing at home.
Therefore, they have home ground support. They would have their fans cheer them on and give them that extra boost to go for the win.
FC Juarez Against Toluca Odds
However, it might not be enough to ward off the intense attack from Toluca. For this game, FC Juarez has +115 odds with a 47% expected chance of winning.
But over the years, the team wins up to 50% of their matches with these soccer odds. On the other hand, Toluca has +230 odds with a 30% expected winning chance.
But, the team wins 38% of their matches with these odds. From this, we can see that both teams have been performing beyond expectation.
Therefore, we can’t write any of them off before kickoff. The chances of the game ending in a draw are 28%, and they haven’t had a draw in the last five games. The last time they drew was in 2018.
FC Juarez vs. Toluca Information
- Competition: FC Juarez vs. Toluca
- Location of the game: Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez, Ciudad Juarez
- Time: Friday, July 29, 2022, 5:05 PM EDT
- How to watch: Online streaming services
FC Juarez Analysis
Since the start of the season, FC Juarez has only won one game. The first game was against CD Guadalajara, where the team didn’t score or concede any goal.
The team got their first and won only in the second game. In the third game, they got another draw. They were unbeaten for the first three games.
But they’ve lost 1-0 in the last two games. The first loss was against Club Necaxa. It was a hard-fought game that ended badly for both teams.
Juarez Performance Recap
The first and only goal came from a Facundo Batista’s strike in the 36th minute. In the 72nd and 80th minutes, both teams were reduced to 10 men.
The story wasn’t too different in the second match as they also went down 1-0 in the first half. But in this case, only Tigres UNAL got red in the game.
The red card came in the 58th minute. FC Juarez couldn’t get a goal, even though they played against 10 men till the end of the game.
From both games, the coach would have seen where they went wrong. Therefore, we might see a change in the lineup and tactics to ensure the bad run doesn’t continue.
They would want more points to improve their tally for the season. FC Juarez would sure come with more flair and compactness.
Toluca Analysis
Toluca’s season is very different from FC Juarez’s season. The Liga MX team stats show that the team has only lost one game since the start of the season, and they are yet to draw any game.
Toluca Teams Stats
They are currently four wins in five. If they can continue on this track, they will certainly get a chance in the playoffs this season.
The only game they lost, they had to play with 10 men. The team went one man down in the 31st minute, and from then, they had to defend against a barrage of attacks from Club America.
They did well until the game’s closing minute, conceding to a sneaky pass from B Valdez to Richard Sanchez.
Toluca Performance Recap
Since then, they’ve only conceded one goal in two games. The team has fixed their shape and ensured they don’t make mistakes.
Ignacio Ambriz would want to maintain their good form. This would start with using the same players to ensure they continue working well together.
Espinoza also has to find a way to ensure that the new players are not too off from others. With five games gone already, there are obvious changes.
We look forward to how they perform in the game against Juarez. Even though they have the underdog odds, the team has a great chance to win this game based on their current performances.
FC Juarez vs. Toluca Pick and Prediction
FC Juarez would want to change their situation by getting another win, especially since they are playing at home.
However, Toluca is in great form and would want to continue in that trajectory. This would certainly be a tough game.
For our soccer picks, we believe that Toluca will steal the win. We believe the game would end FC Juarez (1) – Toluca (3).
We are going with this scoreline because both teams can score goals given a chance, but Juarez hasn’t been a solid team for the past three games.
Soccer Pick: Toluca (+230)
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