Free NFL Picks For Today, Sunday 10/13/2024
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Chicago Bears NFL Pick Prediction 10/13/2024
Jaguars at Bears 9:30AM ET—Jacksonville receiver Davis is questionable with their tight end Engram questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Chicago left guard is questionable. On defense a safety and cornerback are doubtful. Game played in London. Jacksonville is 1-4 after their 37-34 home win to Indianapolis. The Jaguars gained 497 yards with 126 rushing for 5.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 447 yards to the Colts with 348 passing on 45 attempts. Trevor Lawrence completed 28 of 34 for 371 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Chicago improved to 3-2 with teir 36-10 home win to Carolina. The Bears produced 424 yards with 128 rushing for 3.3 yards a carry. Defensively they held the Panthers to 282 yards with 172 passing on 35 attempts. Caleb Williams hit 20 of 29 for 304 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick:
Chicago has a slight injury advantage based on the Chao ratings. Both Bears wins came with massive injury advantage and this is not the case here. The Bears exploited the injured Rams and Panthers teams at home. Jacksonville rushes the football effectively with 5.7 yards a carry and limit teams to 4.1 yards per attempt. Chicago offense rushes for 3.4 yards a carry and averages only 4.6 yards per pass attempt. On defense they allow 4.8 yards per attempt. Chicago is 1-6 to the spread in their past seven against the AFC. Play Jacksonville +1.
Washington Commanders vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Pick Prediction 10/13/2024
Commanders at Ravens 1PM ET—Washington running back Robinson is questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. Baltimore left tackle is questionable. On defense a corner and nickel back are questionable. Washington improved to 4-1 following their 34-13 home win to Cleveland. The Commanders put up 434 yards with 215 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. On defense they held the Browns to 212 yards with 108 passing on 29 attempts. Jayden Daniels hit 14 of 25 for 238 yards with a touchdown and interception. He rushed for 82 yards. Baltimore sits at 3-2 after their 41-38 road win at Cincinnati. The Ravels gained 520 yards with 175 rushing for 5.1 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 442 yards to the Bengals with 371 passing on 39 attempts. Lamar Jackson hit 26 of 42 for 348 yards with four touchdowns. He rushed for 55 yards.
The Pick:
No significant injury advantage here as both teams enter with 90 or better injury ratings by Dr Chao. Washington is putting up great numbers offensively with 5.3 yards pe run and 76.1% completions for 8 yards per pass attempt. On defense they allow 5.1 yards a carry with 68.7% completions for 6.7 yards a carry. Baltimore strong rushing and passing. They hold opponents to 3.1 yards per carry but have struggled defending the pass by allowing 67% completions for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Washington is 6-0 to the spread as a road underdog against the AFC. Baltimore is 8-12 to the spread at home. Play Washington +7.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Pick Prediction 10/13/2024
Cardinals at Packers 1PM ET—Arizona right tackle is questionable. On defense a nickel back is questionable. Green Bay receiver Watson and their left tackle is questionable. A tackle and corner are questionable on defense. Arizona improved to 2-3 with their 24-23 road win at San Francisco. The Cardinals put up 357 yards with 169 rushing for 6.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 384 yards to the 49ers with 153 rushing for 5.9 yards a carry. Kyler Murray completed 19 of 30 passes for 195 yards with a touchdown and pick. Green Bay sits at 3-2 with their 24-19 road win at LA Rams. The Packers posted 323 yards with 126 rushing for 4.1 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 380 yards to the Rams with 134 rushing for 4.8 yards a carry. Jordan Love hit 15 of 26 for 224 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick:
No significant injury advantage here. Arizona is a good offensive team as they rush for 5.5 yards a carry and complete 68.1% of their passes. This team struggles on defense allowing 4.6 yards a carry with 73% completions for 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Green Bay offense rushes for 5.2 yards a carry with a good downfield presence with 7.7 yards per pass attempt. On defense they surrender 4.4 yards per run with 64% completions for 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Two good passing and rushing offenses here. Arizona defense the concern in this back-to-back road spot. Play Arizona and Green Bay over 47.
Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots NFL Pick Prediction 10/13/2024
Texans at Patriots 1PM ET—Houston back Mixon is questionable. Receivers Nico Collins and Robert Woods are out. On defense a free safety and corner are out. New England running back Stevenson is out with receiver Bourne and their center questionable. On defense a linebacker and safety are questionable. Houston improved to 4-1 following their 23-20 home win to Buffalo. The Texans gained 425 yards with 94 rushing for 3.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 276 yards to the Bills with 150 rushing for 5.4 yards a carry. C.J. Stroud went 28 of 38 for 331 yards with a touchdown and interception. New England fell to 1-4 with their 15-10 home defeat to Miami. The Patriots gained 299 yards with 151 rushing for 7.9 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 372 yards to the Dolphins with 193 rushing for 4.7 yards a carry. Drake Maye will start at quarterback. Maye in limited work in Week 3 hit 4 of 8 passes for 22 yards and he rushed for 12 yards.
The Pick:
Houston has a significant injury advantage in this game based on Dr Chao injury ratings. The Patriots issues are on the offensive line and running back as they spot a low 63.2 injury score. The Texans have a slight advantage offensively battling the Patriots defense. Also, factor a rookie quarterback starting here. New England is allowing 4.8 yards per run but solid in pass defense. The Texans are averaging only 6.1 yards per pass attempt this season and dealing with injuries to playmakers on offense. Play Houston and New England under 37.5.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Pick Prediction 10/13/2024
Buccaneers at Saints 1PM ET—Tampa Bay running back White is doubtful with center Barton out. Receiver McMillan and right tackle are questionable. On defense an end and both safeties are questionable. New Orleans quarterback Carr is out as is their right guard. Their center is questionable. On defense and linebacker and safety are out. Tampa Bay fell to 3-2 following their 36-30 road defeat on Thursday night to Atlanta. The Buccaneers gained 333 yards with 160 rushing for 6.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 550 yards to the Falcons with 477 passing on 59 attempts. Baker Mayfield completed 19 of 24 for 180 yards and three touchdowns. He rushed for 42 yards. New Orleans drops to 2-3 after their 26-13 road defeat to Kansas City on Monday Night. The Saints posted 220 yards with 46 rushing for three yards a carry. On defense they gave up 460 yards to the Chiefs with 321 passing on 39 attempts. Spencer Rattler takes over for the injured Derek Carr. The Rookie sees his first action elevated from the third string here.
The Pick:
Tampa Bay has an injury advantage in this game by about 3.7 points in Dr Chao’s ratings. The Saints offense has a low injury score of 77.5. Tampa Bay is rushing for 4.5 yards a carry with 72% completions for 7 yards per pass attempt. The Saints defense allows 4.4 yards a carry and 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Quarterback and Rest Advantage for Tampa Bay here. Play Tampa Bay -3.5.
Cleveland Browns vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Pick Prediction 10/13/2024
Browns at Eagles 1PM ET—Cleveland center is out. On defense both safeties are out with a linebacker and corner are questionable. Philadelphia is healthy on both sides of the field. The Eagles hit their bye week at 2-2 following their 33-16 road defeat at Tampa Bay. They put up 227 yards with 113 rushing for 5.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 445 yards to the Bucs with 334 passing on 47 attempts. Jalen Hurts went 18 of 30 for 158 yards with a touchdown. He rushed for 20 yards and a touchdown. Cleveland falls to 1-4 with their 34-13 road defeat at Washington. The Browns produced 212 yards with 104 rushing for 4.5 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 434 yards to the Commanders with 215 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. Deshaun Watson hit 15 of 28 for 125 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick:
Philadelphia has a significant injury advantage based on the Chao Ratings. It is significant on both sides of the field. Cleveland is a mess on offense. They rush for 4.4 yards a carry but average only 4 yards per pass attempt. Defensively they are allowing 141 yards rushing per game with 5 yards per run. The team allows 6.2 yards per pass attempt. The Philadelphia offense rushes for 5.1 yards a carry and completes 68.2% of their passes for 6.4 yards per carry. On defense they are allowing five yards per run with 7 yards per pass attempt. Cleveland is 12-8 to the over on the road. Philadelphia is 14-5 to the over as a home favorite. Play Cleveland Philadelphia over 42.5.
Indianapolis vs. Tennessee NFL Pick Prediction 10/13/2024
Indianapolis at Tennessee 1PM ET—Indianapolis quarterback Anthony Richardson is questionable as is receivers Pittman and Downs. Their right tackle is questionable with running back Taylor out. On defense their nickel back is questionable. Tennessee is healthy on offense and defense. Indianapolis fell to 2-3 following their 37-34 road win at Jacksonville. The Colts put up 447 yards with 99 rushing for five yards a carry. On defense they allowed 497 yards with 371 passing on 34 attempts. Anthony Richardson has practiced this week. He completes 50.6% of his passes with 8.5 yards per pass attempt but six picks. Tennessee improved to 1-3 with their 32-31 road win at Miami. The Titans gained 244 yards with 142 rushing for 3.5 yards a carry. On defense they held the Dolphins to 184 yards with 78 passing on 22 attempts. Will Levis is expected to start after exiting with a shoulder injury, but the bye week aided into the healing process. Levis is completing 68.4% of his passes with 6.2 yards per pass attempt throwing for four touchdowns and six picks.
The Pick:
Tennessee has a major injury advantage in this game by 14 points in the Dr Chao ratings. Huge edges on both sides of the football. Indianapolis is rushing for 5 yards a carry but 60.1% completion rate. On defense they allow 4.5 yards per run with 72% completions for 7.9 yards per pass attempt. Tennessee rushes for 4.2 yards a carry but inefficient pass team with 66% completions for 5 yards per pass attempt. Defense is a strength as the Titans allow 4.2 yards per run and 59% completion rate for 5 yards per pass attempt. The Colts have dropped both road games this season. Back-to-back road games for Indy here. Rest advantage for the Titans. Play Tennessee -2.5.
LA Chargers vs. Denver Broncos NFL Pick Prediction 10/13/2024
Chargers at Broncos 4PM ET—LA left tackle is questionable. On defense a corner and nickel back are out. A linebacker and corner are questionable. Denver receiver Reynolds a center and right tackle are out. Their defensive starters are healthy. LA hit their bye week at 2-2 after their 17-10 home defeat to Kansas City. The Chargers produced 264 yards with 55 rushing for 2.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 329 yards to the Chiefs with 228 passing on 29 attempts. Justin Herbert hit 16 of 27 for 179 yards with a touchdown. Denver improved to 3-2 following their 34-18 home win to Las Vegas. The Broncos collected 289 yards with 109 rushing for 3.9 yards a carry. On defense they held the Raiders to 330 yards with 215 passing on 37 attempts. Bo Nix hit 19 of 27 for 206 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick:
No significant injury advantage in this one but both teams are banged up with injury scores around 85 based on Dr Chao ratings. LA is rushing for 4.4 yards a carry but inefficient in the passing game with 5.9 yards per pass attempt. On defense they hold opponents to 3.9 yards a carry but 72.5% completion rate. Denver rushes for 4 yards a carry but an inefficient passing game that averages 5 yards per pass attempt. Denver allows 4.2 yards per run with only 5.1 yards per pass attempt. The Broncos are 5-1 to the spread in consecutive home games. Play Denver +3.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Pick Prediction 10/13/2024
Steelers at Raiders 4PM ET—Pittsburgh is healthy on offense. On defense a linebacker is out. Las Vegas receiver Adams is out. Running back White with receiver Meyers are questionable along with their right tackle. On defense a linebacker is questionable. Pittsburgh is 3-2 following their 20-17 home defeat to Dallas. The Steelers put up 226 yards with 92 rushing for 3.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 445 yards to the Cowboys with 336 passing on 42 attempts. Justin Fields hit 15 of 27 for 131 yards with two touchdowns. He rushed for 27 yards. Las Vegas drops to 2-3 with their 34-18 road defeat at Denver. The Raiders posted 430 yards with 115 rushing for 4.6 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 289 yards to the Broncos with 180 passing on 27 attempts. Aiden O’Connell hit 10 of 20 passes for 94 yards and an interception.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh has a slight injury edge based on the Chao ratings. The Steelers are running for only 3.7 yards a carry and pass for 6.5 yards per pass attempt. The Steelers defense allows 3.7 yards a carry with 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Las Vegas rushes for 3.9 yards a carry and benches Minshew. On defense the Raiders allow 4.9 yards per run with 6.5 yards per pass attempt. O’Connell limits mistakes at the quarterback position. The Raiders are 9-4 to the spread at home against the AFC. Pittsburgh struggles to get points on the board and have lost two straight and all to struggling defensive teams. Play Las Vegas +3.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Pick Prediction 10/13/2024
Falcons at Panthers 4:25PM ET—Atlanta fullback Burns is out. On defense a linebacker is out. Carolina right end and right tackle are out. Receiver Johnson is questionable. On defense a linebacker is out, and one is doubtful. They have an end out. Atlanta improved to 3-2 following their 36-30 home victory to Tampa Bay. They gained 550 yards with 73 rushing for 4 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 333 yards to the Bucs with 160 rushing for 6.2 yards per run. Kirk Cousins went 42 of 58 for 509 yards with four touchdowns and an interception. Carolina sits at 1-4 after their 36-10 road defeat to Chicago. The Panthers put up 292 yards with 120 rushing for 6.3 yards per rush. On defense they allowed 424 yards to the Bears with 296 passing on 29 attempts. Andy Dalton completed 18 of 28 for 136 yards with an interception.
The Pick:
Atlanta has a huge injury advantage in this game based on Dr. Chao injury ratings by a margin of +18.2 rating points. The Panthers defense has a very low injury score of 63.6 with the Falcons offense with an 85.9 score. Atlanta is rushing for 4.5 yards a carry and efficient in their passing game with 66.9% completions and 7.3 yards per pass attempt. The team allows 4.4 yards per run with 6.2 yards per pass attempt. Carolina struggles in the passing game averaging 5.3 yards per attempt. A poor pass defense that gives up 70.8% completions for 7.9 yards per pass attempt. Carolina is 1-4 to the spread at home facing an offensive team that averages 350 or greater yards per game. Play Atlanta -6.
Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Pick Prediction 10/13/2024
Lions at Cowboys 4:25PM ET—Detroit starters are healthy on both sides of the field. Dallas starters on offense are healthy. On defense an end and linebacker are out with a corner questionable. Detroit improved to 3-1 following their 42-29 home on a Monday night to Seattle prior to their bye week. The Lions gained 389 yards with 116 rushing for 4.1 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 516 yards to the Seahawks with 383 passing on 56 attempts. Jared Goff went 18 of 18 for 292 yards and two touchdowns. Dallas is 3-2 with their 20-17 road win at Pittsburgh. The Cowboys put up 445 yards with 109 rushing for 3.5 yards per carry. On defense they held the Steelers to 226 yards with 134 passing on 28 attempts. Dak Prescott hit 29 of 42 for 352 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions.
The Pick:
The Lions have a significant injury advantage in this game based on the Chao ratings. The Cowboys have a low injury score of 69.4 as they face a Lions offense healthy with a rating of 92.7. Detroit rushes for 4.7 yards a carry and an efficient offense that completes 71.4% of their passes for 7.8 yards per pass attempt. On defense they hold foes to 4.4 yards per run with 6.5 yards per pass attempt. Dallas struggles on the ground with 3.5 yards per run. On defense they allow 4.4 yards per run and 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Detroit is 14-5 to the spread on the road. Dallas is 2-4 to the spread at home against winning teams. Massive health with rest is an advantage for the Lions here. Play Detroit -3.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. NY Giants NFL Pick Prediction 10/13/2024
Bengals at Giants 8:20PM ET—Cincinnati starters are healthy on offense. On defense a nickel back is questionable. NY running back Devin Singletary is questionable with receiver Nabers out. Their starters on defense are healthy. Cincinnati drops to 1-4 following their 41-38 home defeat to Baltimore. The Bengals produced 442 yards with 71 rushing for 3.1 yards per carry. On defense they gave up 520 yards to the Ravens with 345 passing on 42 attempts. Joe Burrow completed 30 of 39 for 392 yards with five touchdowns and an interception. NY sits at 2-3 with their 29-20 road win at Seattle. The Giants put up 420 yards with 175 rushing for 5.1 yards a carry. On defense they held Seattle to 335 yards with 231 passing on 40 attempts. Daniel Jones hit 23 of 34 for 257 yards with two touchdowns. He rushed for 38 yards.
The Pick:
No significant injury advantage here. Cincinnati is rushing for 4.3 yards a carry with a strong passing game with 72.3% completions with 7.6 yards per pass attempt. Defensively they allow 4.6 yards a carry with 6.9 yards per pass attempt. NY struggles running for 3.9 yards a carry and only pass for 6.1 yards per pass attempt. The Giants defense has been poor by allowing 5.1 yards per rush with 72% completion rate. Cincinnati is 7-1 to the spread on the road facing teams that allow 5.65 yards per play or greater. Play Cincinnati -3.5.
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