The Cleveland Cavaliers (42-26) battle the Miami Heat (35-32) Friday. Tip from Miami-Dade Arena is set for 8 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Cavaliers vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Cleveland is 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread (ATS) this season against Miami. It beat the Heat 104-100 Wednesday, covering as a 1.5-point favorite. The Under has connected in all 3 meetings.
The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games but just 4-5 ATS over their last 9 outings. They are 36-29-3 ATS on the season and 32-36 O/U. Cleveland allows the league’s fewest points per game (106.5).
The Heat are 2-8 ATS over their last 10 games and have lost 7 of them outright. They are 24-41-2 ATS this season and 30-37 O/U. They allow the second-fewest points per game (109.1).
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Cavaliers at Heat odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cavaliers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Heat +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers -1.5 (-115) | Heat +1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Cavaliers at Heat key injuries
Cavaliers
- None
Heat
- F Kevin Love (rib) probable
- G Kyle Lowry (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Cavaliers at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 108, Cavaliers 105
Moneyline
BET HEAT (+100).
The Heat are 21-13 at home this season, and the Cavaliers — while a top team in the league — are still just 14-19 on the road. Miami should also be in desperation mode as it’s been struggling lately and should be competing at a higher intensity.
The Cavs are just 1-3 in their last 4 road games as well, and they forced Miami into 22 turnovers on Wednesday. Expect the Heat to take better care of the ball in the rematch.
Against the spread
PASS.
I prefer the even-money odds on the Heat at home instead of taking the single point of insurance.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 214.5 (-108).
The total is 0-3 O/U in these two teams’ matchups this season, and neither plays at a high tempo and both have defense-first mindsets.
With F Evan Mobley and C Bam Adebayo, the paint should be protected, and it will be difficult to get easy buckets. The Heat are 2-5 O/U in their last 7 while the Cavs are 2-3 O/U in their last 5.
Back the UNDER 214.5 (-108).
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