The Washington Wizards (32-40) welcome the Denver Nuggets (48-24) to Capital One Arena Wednesday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Wizards odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Wizards and Nuggets have played once this season in the Mile High City with Denver winning 141-128, covering as an 11-point favorite. The Over 224.5 hit with ease.
The Nuggets have won just 2 of their last 7 games and are 2-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last 8. During that span while on the road, they are 2-3 straight up and ATS. Denver is 39-33 ATS on the season.
The Wizards lost 122-112 at Orlando Tuesday, failing to cover as a 1.5-point underdog. They are 1-6 straight up and ATS in their last 7. Washington is just 32-36-3 ATS on the season.
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Nuggets at Wizards odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -260 (bet $260 to win $100) | Wizards +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -6.5 (-108) | Wizards +6.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Nuggets at Wizards key injuries
Nuggets
- None
Wizards
- Not yet submitted
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Nuggets at Wizards picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 124, Wizards 114
Moneyline
AVOID.
Denver is the far superior side, but as a (-260) road favorite, it has little value. Washington is the league’s 5th-worst team at home (16-18). It isn’t a great play at (+220) given its home struggles this season.
Against the spread
BET NUGGETS -6.5 (-108).
While Denver might be just 16-20 ATS on the road, Washington is 14-19-1 ATS at home this season. The Wizards rank 23rd in net rating, so they might not be as good as their record insinuates.
The Nuggets rank No. 1 in effective field goal rate while the Wizards rank 20th in defensive rating. Denver abused Washington the 1st time around, scoring 141, and it should have similar success.
The Wizards are just 2-4 ATS in their last 6 home games, closing as an underdog in 5 of them. They are 1-4 ATS in the games they were an underdog in. Denver is 2-2 ATS in its last 4 road games.
Ultimately, considering how these teams match up and Denver’s offensive strength, back the NUGGETS -6.5 (-108).
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 228.5 (-110).
The Wizards’ defense has been awful lately, allowing 117 or more in 3 straight games to competent offenses (Orlando, Sacramento and Cleveland). They have allowed 126 points per game over their last 2.
Denver has the NBA’s most efficient offense and should be able to score with ease. Washington is 2-0 O/U in its last 2 and 5-5 O/U in its last 10. Denver is 5-5 O/U in its last 10 and has scored at least 110 in 5 of its last 6.
Considering the trends mixed with the Wizards’ porous defense, back the OVER 228.5 (-110).
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