28/04/2024

Preview: Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao - prediction, team

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Preview: Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao - prediction, team

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Real Madrid will be looking to secure second position in the La Liga table when they welcome top-seven hopefuls Athletic Bilbao to Bernabeu on Sunday night.

Los Blancos are currently second in the division, one point ahead of third-placed Atletico Madrid, while Athletic occupy eighth, level on points with seventh-placed Osasuna.


Match preview

Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti on May 9, 2023© Reuters

Real Madrid's La Liga and Champions League double from last season set the bar incredibly high in 2022-23, and as a result, this campaign will go down as a disappointing one despite managing to win the UEFA Super Cup, Club World Cup and Copa del Rey.

Los Blancos have fallen comfortably short in La Liga, with the gap to the champions Barcelona currently 11 points, and Carlo Ancelotti's side instead find themselves in a battle with Atletico for second.

A win for Real Madrid in this match would see them claim the spot behind Barcelona, but they could lose and still finish as the runners-up if Atletico fail to overcome Villarreal, with a draw not being enough for Diego Simeone's side due to their inferior head-to-head record against their capital rivals.

Los Blancos will enter this game off the back of a 2-1 win over Sevilla, and they have been strong at home in the league this season, picking up 43 points from 18 matches, losing just once.

Real Madrid's away form has ultimately cost them the chance to be in a title race, having suffered seven defeats on their travels, which is something that Ancelotti will need to address for next season.

Athletic Bilbao's Inaki Williams celebrates scoring their first goal on April 4, 2023© Reuters

Athletic have their own reasons for wanting to pick up a positive result on the final weekend of the season, as the Basque outfit are in the running to finish seventh, which would mean qualification for the playoff round of the 2023-24 Europa Conference League.

The fact that the Lions are in this position is slightly surprising considering that they have lost five of their last seven league games, recording just one victory in the process.

Ernesto Valverde's side will enter this match off the back of successive losses to Osasuna and Elche, but they are eighth in the table, level on points with seventh-placed Osasuna, who have a superior head-to-head record over the Basque side.

Athletic are not the only team in the race for seventh, with Girona, Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla also involved, and it is likely that the Lions will need to win against Real Madrid to stand a chance of claiming the European spot.

The Red and Whites, who last finished seventh in 2016-17, have lost their last six league games against Real Madrid, while they have not beaten the capital side in the league since March 2015, which is an indication of the size of their task on Sunday night.

Real Madrid La Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W


Real Madrid form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W


Athletic Bilbao La Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L


Team News

Real Madrid's Karim Benzema celebrates scoring their fourth goal to complete his hat-trick on April 5, 2023© Reuters

Karim Benzema's future has been the subject of much speculation over the last couple of days, with various reports claiming that he is heading for Saudi Arabia this summer.

As it stands, though, there has been no announcement on his future, and the Frenchman is back in the squad for this match after recovering from a foot injury.

Vinicius Junior has also recovered from a knee issue and should start, while Mariano Diaz and Marco Asensio, who are both leaving the club this summer, are included after overcoming muscular problems.

Head coach Ancelotti is expected to make a number of changes from the side that started against Sevilla, with Dani Carvajal available again following a suspension, while Eduardo Camavinga and Antonio Rudiger could also feature from the first whistle.

As for Athletic, Ander Herrera, Dani Garcia, Inigo Martinez, Jon Morcillo and Yeray Alvarez were all missing against Elche through injury, and that is again expected to be the case this weekend.

Head coach Valverde is expected to resist the temptation to shuffle his pack following the 1-0 home loss to basement side Elche, with the majority of the players set to keep their spots.

However, the team should be boosted by the return of Nico Williams, who was absent last time out through illness, with the Spaniard set to replace Gorka Guruzeta in the XI.


Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Carvajal, Militao, Rudiger, Alaba; Kroos, Camavinga, Valverde; Rodrygo, Benzema, Vinicius

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; De Marcos, Vivian, Paredes, Yuri; Vesga, Sancet; Berenguer, Muniain, N Williams; I Williams


SM words green background

We say: Real Madrid 2-1 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic have a lot to fight for on the final matchday of the campaign, but the Basque outfit are again expected to be missing some important players, which could cost them the chance to pick up a positive result. Real Madrid will also be looking to secure the victory which would guarantee second, and we are expecting the home side to collect all three points at Bernabeu.



For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data

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