Juventus (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) welcomes Lecce (3-2-0) to Allianz Stadium Tuesday for a key Serie A match. Kickoff is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Juventus vs. Lecce odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Juventus sits tied for 4th in the Italian top league with 10 points and is 1-1-0 at home. In 5 league matches, it has scored 11 goals and allowed 6, respectively 2.2 and 1.2 goals scored and allowed per game. F Dusan Vlahovic and F Federico Chiesa are the stars for the home side, both with 4 goals scored. Juventus is coming off its 1st loss of the season Saturday, a 4-2 road defeat at the hand of Sassuolo.
Lecce is 3rd, a point ahead of Juventus. It has played 2 road games and hasn’t lost. It also hasn’t won, posting a 0-2-0 record, drawing Fiorentina 2-2 and Monza 1-1. It has scored 8 goals and allowed 4 in 5 matches. F Nikola Krstovic has 3 goals, the only player on Lecce with more than 1. Lecce beat Genoa 1-0 at home on Friday in its last match.
World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+
Juventus vs. Lecce odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:51 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Juventus -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Lecce +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Draw +320 (bet $100 to win $320)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -120)
Juventus vs. Lecce picks and predictions
Prediction
Juventus 3, Lecce 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
The moneyline value on Juventus to win just isn’t worth taking here. It was 13-3-3 at home last season, struggling on the road which resulted in a 7th-place finish in the league. Juventus beat Leece 2-1 at home last season, and it will likely be able to come out on top.
At -190, there’s just no value. In road matches this season, Lecce has had at least 1.0 fewer expected goals than its opponent. It hasn’t played well and is playing a team that was terrific at home last season. Ultimately, don’t take anything on the moneyline.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (-110).
Juventus allowed 4 goals in its last game and has allowed a goal in 3 of its last 4 games. It has scored 2 or more in all but 1 game as well. It has averaged 2 goals per game at home this season and has at least 1.8 expected goals in 3 of 5. Juventus has top-tier goal scorers that should shine at home.
Leece has allowed an expected goal in 4 of 5 games and has had 0.9 or more expected goals in 4 of 5 as well. It has scored in every game and should be able to continue that against a weak Juventus defense. In this situation, this game went Over this total last season with a 2-1 Juventus win.
Take OVER 2.5 (-110). And given recent trends, it might also be worth making a play on the alternate OVER 3.5 (+220) for a nice payout.
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.