The NFL's two Wild Card games on Sunday will attract bets from average Joes to professional bettors. The Jaguars are favored by 8.5 against the Bills and the Saints are favored by 6.5 over the division-rival Panthers in a game that has already seen plenty of line movement.
With two eye-popping games and NFL odds already on the move, you need to know what SportsLine's advanced computer model is picking.
With a 176-80 record, SportsLine is beating nearly every expert tracked on NFLPickWatch for the second year in a row.
It's fresh off a week in which it called huge wins for the Bills and Falcons that helped send both teams to the playoffs. Those NFL picks helped run its straight-up record to a stunning 74-22 run to end the regular season. And on Saturday, it correctly said to take the Falcons' money line against the Rams. Anyone who has followed its advice is up big.
With Wild Card Weekend here, the computer simulated every game 10,000 times and came up with some surprising results.
We can tell you the model is loving the Over (47.5) in Saints vs. Panthers, saying it hits in 56 percent of simulations.
The Saints and Panthers have met twice this season. The Saints won 34-13 in Week 3 (47 points) and 31-21 in Week 13 (52 points).
The model knows, however, that if both teams hit their season averages in points -- New Orleans at 28.0 and Carolina at 22.7 -- Sunday's NFC Wild Card game would sail Over. It's projecting 52 points on the scoreboard, easily clearing a total of 47.5.
In Bills-Jaguars, the model is leaning Under (39.5), saying it hits in 53 percent of simulations. Buffalo could have major issues moving the ball with a limited LeSean McCoy (ankle), if he plays at all. The Bills cleared 24 points just three times this season.
Jacksonville, meanwhile, is No. 2 in the NFL in scoring defense (16.8 points per game).
The model also has a strong against the spread picks for both Sunday Wild Card games that you absolutely need to see and is calling for a team with strong Super Bowl aspirations to go down hard. You can only get those picks at SportsLine.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence on Wild Card Sunday? Check out the NFL odds below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, plus find out which strong Super Bowl contender is going down hard, all from the model that finished the regular season on a blistering 74-22 run, plus get NFL picks from 20 experts.
AFC Wild Card: Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars (-8.5, 39.5)
NFC Wild Card: Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-6.5, 47.5)