The Milwaukee Brewers (53-44) host the Minnesota Twins (52-44) Tuesday at American Family Field for the start of an interleague back-to-back with the 1st pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 1-1 with both teams scoring 7 runs.
Minnesota swept a back-to-back with the Detroit Tigers last weekend in Detroit but the Twins are just 5-5 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games. The Twins are 3.5 games ahead in the AL Central.
Milwaukee is also 5-5 SU in the last 10. The Brewers, who lead the NL Central by 2 games, dropped the series finale vs. the Colorado Rockies 2-0 at home after winning the first 3 games of that 4-game set.
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Twins at Brewers projected starters
RHP Dylan Bundy vs. LHP Ethan Small
Bundy is 6-4 with a 4.71 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 80 1/3 IP over 16 starts.
Last start: Won 6-3 July 16 at home vs. the Chicago White Sox with 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 3 K. 2022 road splits: 3-3 with a 6.02 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.46 WHIP and 7.7 K/9 in 10 starts.Small (0-0, 6.75 ERA) is making the 2nd career start of his rookie season.
Last start: No-decision in Milwaukee’s 7-6 win at the Chicago Cubs May 30 with 2 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and 4 K. The 1st-round selection in the 2019 MLB Draft is Milwaukee’s 6th-ranked prospect according to FanGraphs.Twins at Brewers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:58 p.m. ET.
Money line (ML): Twins -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Brewers -117 (bet $117 to win $100) Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+155) | Brewers +1.5 (-190) Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Twins at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 7, Twins 4
Money line
BET the BREWERS (-117) because they hit righties better than the Twins (-103) hit lefties and Milwaukee’s bullpen has better advanced numbers than Minnesota’s.
Plus Bundy has been awful on the road this year and the Brew Crew’s ML has been steamed up from a -110 opener by sharp action, per Pregame.com.
Finally, the Brewers are 7-3 SU in interleague play while the Twins are 4-6 SU.
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS because the Twins are a feisty 13-7 RL as road underdogs whereas the Brewers are just 16-28 at home.
Also, given Milwaukee’s mediocre performance over the last 20 games and Small being a rookie, the Brewers’ alternate RL is a no-go as well.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 9.5 (-105) because the Twins are 13-6-1 O/U as road underdogs and 7-1-2 O/U in Bundy’s 10 road starts with an average final score of 5.8-5.2.
But, the Under 9.5 (-120) appears to be the sharper play and Milwaukee’s ML is my favorite look in this game.
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