28/03/2024

Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Viernes 29 de Julio del 2022

Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday's Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

Analyzing Friday's Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (52-47) and Pittsburgh Pirates (40-59) meet Friday to continue a 4-game set at PNC Park. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 1-0 after an 8-7 win in Thursday’s series opener.

The Phillies are 3-1 over their last 4 games. Philadelphia hurlers own a 3.22 ERA in their last 16 road games.

The Pirates have lost 4 in a row and 9 of their last 11. Over that latter stretch, Pittsburgh has logged a mere .589 OPS at the plate. The club’s 3.62 runs-per-game average ranks 28th in MLB.

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Phillies at Pirates projected starters

LHP Bailey Falter vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Falter (0-3, 5.18 ERA) owns a 1.45 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 33 IP in 10 games (6 starts).

Allowed 3 HR in his last start and has a 6.00 ERA in his last 21 IP. Has a 1.56 ERA, 0.63 WHIP in 7 minor league starts in 2022.

Quintana (3-5, 3.70 ERA) is making his 20th start of the season. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 97 1/3 IP.

Tossed 7 shutout innings against the Miami Marlins Saturday with 4 H, 0 BB and  4 K. Owns a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 home starts and a 2.65 ERA at home for the season.

Phillies at Pirates odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:31 a.m. ET.

Money line: Phillies -125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Pirates +102 (bet $102 to win $100) Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+130) | Pirates +1.5 (-160) Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Phillies at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Pirates 3

Money line

At 4.67 runs per game and 4.17 runs allowed, the Phils have underplayed their scoring advantage. An 11-16 record in 1-run games has not helped.

The left-lefty matchup is an advantage for Philadelphia, which owns a .756 OPS vs. port-siders (9th MLB).

Falter is a 25-year-old 2nd-year player. His Major League ERA is 5.40. His Triple-A ERA is 1.65.

TAKE THE PHILLIES (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread

Pittsburgh’s offense had been reeling before Thursday’s game.

Philadelphia’s bullpen has been improved of late (3.48 ERA in July); Pittsburgh’s relief numbers have been trending the other way.

Consider a split wager: Half on the ML and half on PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (+130).

Over/Under

The Under is a slight — but non-actionable — lean. AVOID.

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