The New York Yankees (4-2) open a 3-game set with the Baltimore Orioles (3-3) Friday. First pitch from Camden Yards is at 3:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting of 2023. The Yankees won last season’s series 12-7.
The Yankees won both of their opening series at home against the San Francisco Giants and Philadelphia Phillies, losing just game 2 each time. New York scored 4 or more runs in 5 of their 6 games.
Baltimore started the season with a back-and-forth 3-game set against the Boston Red Sox where it recorded just 1 victory. However, the Orioles found their footing against the Texas Rangers to start the week, winning the first 2 games before falling 5-2 in the finale Wednesday.
Yankees at Orioles projected starters
RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Dean Kremer
Clarke Schmidt (0-0, 8.10 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 5 K over 3 1/3 IP in his debut Saturday vs. the Giants.
- Went 5-5 with a 3.12 ERA over 3 starts and 26 relief appearances in 2022.
- Allowed 2 HR in his season debut; allowed just 2 HR once in his 29 games in 2022 and didn’t allow a single HR in his 3 starts last season.
Dean Kremer (0-0, 15.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 5 ER on 6 H and 1 BB with 3 K over 3 IP in his debut Saturday vs. the Red Sox.
- Posted a 8-7 record with a 3.23 ERA and 1.25 WHIP over 21 starts and 1 relief appearance in 2022.
- Allowed 4 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 6 K over 5 1/3 in his lone start vs. the Yankees last season.
Yankees at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:56 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+125) | Orioles +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Yankees 3
Moneyline
The Yankees have been tough to score on so far this season, ranking 3rd in MLB with 14 runs against. They are 5th in opponent doubles per game, 2nd in opponent walks per game, and 1st in opponent strikeouts.
The Orioles are scoring at an above-average rate to start the season. Baltimore is 1st in both stolen base attempts per game (2.00) and stolen bases per game (1.83). The Yankees have yet to throw anyone out trying to steal. I expect them to bring the offense for their home opener.
LEAN ORIOLES (+110).
Run line/Against the spread
This game will be Baltimore’s home opener but so far teams have struggled to cover at home; home teams have covered in 37 of 86 games (43%) through Wednesday afternoon.
You can certainly take the Orioles with the run of insurance if you don’t want to take them straight up, although it is pretty juicy.
BET ORIOLES +1.5 (-160).
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Over/Under
The Orioles are 4-2 to the Over, while the Yankees are 4-2 to the Under.
It’s best to PASS until game 2 to see how they match up against each other.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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